Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Some skeptical items for your consideration

   I haven't been doing much writing of any substance lately. I've mostly been posting little quickies than don't require any thought. Yes, I haven't forgotten that I owe you one more installment of the 100 movies series. That's coming. Honest!
   But here are a few little things that I've been thinking about lately.


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Expelled Exposed 
   You may have heard of the soon to be released movie, Expelled: No Intelligence Allowed. Or, you may not have. Ben Stein (Bueller...Bueller...Bueller...) stars in what the producers are calling a documentary about the suppression of new ideas by the scientific establishment (whatever that is). According to the film's website:
“Expelled” calls attention to the plight of highly credentialed scholars who have been forced out of prestigious academic positions because they proposed Intelligent Design as a possible alternative to Charles Darwin’s 150-year-old theories about the origins of life. Instead of entertaining a debate on the merits of competing theories, the scientific establishment has moved to suppress the ID movement in a “systematic and ruthless” way at odds with America’s founding principles, the film asserts.
   That would be quite an interesting movie to watch, I suspect, if the statement above were actually, you know, true. Unfortunately, like many other things that have come to light about this film, the statement above is a lie. The scientific establishment is quite prepared to debate the merits of the science behind the "theory" of Intelligent Design...if only its proponents would present some. To date they have failed to do so.
   Make no mistake, Intelligent Design is not a scientific theory. It is religious propaganda, and its primary proponent, the Discovery Institute, is not a scientific research facility. It is a political lobbying organisation. Lucky for us, the "scientificestablishment" is quite prepared to back up their position with cold, hard, observable fact. To this end, the website
Expelled: Exposed reveals the facts behind the veil of lies being spread by the producers of this film.


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A Case Of Curse Transference?
   One of the areas of our lives that is absolutely permeated by superstition is sports. Ball players take great care not to step on the chalklines as they run off the field. Hockey players will grow a "playoff beard." Basketball players will refuse to wash their socks during a winning streak. And we completely accept these silly things, as if they could possibly have any effect whatsoever on the outcome of a game.
   For the most part, these things are harmless, but the fact that so many people believe in them can lead to problems. Last week, constuction on the new Yankee Stadium in New York was delayed for five hours, at a cost of over $30,000, so workers could jackhammer through two feet of concrete to remove a Boston Red Sox jersey placed there by a former worker. Gino Castignoli, a construction worker and Red Sox fan hid the jersey just before concrete was poured for one of the luxury boxes during his one day of work on the stadium. Representatives of the New York Yankees Baseball Club called it "a very bad, dastardly act." A very bad, dastardly act. Dastardly, like tying Derek Jeter to a set of railroad tracks.
   OK, so you think you've heard everything now, don't you? You're wrong. 
The Yankees organisation is considering legal action. I swear, I'm not making that up. These guys truly believe that the action of burying a Red Sox jersey under the stadium could have materially harmed their ball club. I'm sorry, but that's just plain kooky.


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Making a Choice
   Recently, here in Toronto, a devout Sikh man challenged the Ontario law requiring motorcycle riders to wear helmets. He could not wear a helmet, he said, because his religion required him to wear a turban, and prohibited him from covering it in any way. The Ontario Human Rights Commission ruled in favour of Balinder Badesha's challenge to the law, but
a Superior court Justice over-ruled that decision on March 6th of this year. Mr. Badesha plans to appeal the decision.
   I have two questions for Mr. Badesha:
1) Does your religion require you to wear an uncovered turban at all times outside of your home?

2) Does your religion require you to ride a motorcycle?
The answers to these questions are, of course, "yes," and, "no." I don't see a conflict here.
   You see, Mr. Badesha, observing your religion is a choice you have made. Like all choices, once you have made it, you find it impacts upon other choices facing you in your life. Riding a motorcycle is also a choice. There are many alternate forms of transportation of which you may avail yourself. You could drive a car, you could ride a bicycle, you could take a bus, you could walk. If riding said motorcyle conflicts with your religion, well then, you are going to have to choose between them. But choose wisely. As far as I'm concerned, they're both dangerous practices.


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But She Was On Oprah, So She Has To Be Right
   Also back in March, former model Jenny McCarthy was in Toronto for the Holistic World Expo, and spouting her load of nonsense about Autism and Vaccines to anyone who would listen. Toronto Sun columnist Michele Mandel wrote what started out to be quite a rational and skeptical
article on the subject, saying:
According to McCarthy, the recent alarming rise in autism -- as high as one in 150 children -- is directly tied to the increasingly heavy childhood vaccination schedule that began in the 1990s...

 The scary thing is that no one in this town's goo-goo-eyed media bothered to challenge her controversial stand...

The scientific evidence, though, is pretty conclusive. The oft-touted link between autism and vaccination has been examined to death and endless studies have concluded there is no connection.
Somewhere along the way, however, Mandel lost the script.
So I was all prepared to completely discount the 35-year-old crusader and her Internet science. But it turns out that part of her message may actually have something to it. McCarthy credits a complete change in diet for helping to "cure" her son of his autism. After removing wheat and casein (found in milk) and adding vitamins and supplements, she noticed a dramatic change in just six months. "I do know I undid the damage that was done by vaccines," she told one local morning show, "and healed the body. You heal the body and you heal the mind and then he was able to function in society."
Mandel appears to accept McCarthy's statement at face value, leaving all semblance of skepticism behind. There are several things Mandel had overlooked in credulously reporting McCarthy's claims on this matter.

   First - and you've heard me say this before - correlation does not necessarily imply causation. Just because two things happen at the same time (or one follows the other) does not necessarily mean they are related. They might be, be it can be hard to know for sure.
   Autism is a condition marked by developmental delay. Note that is delayed development, not arrested development. It can seem like an autistic child is stuck at one level of development forever, then they can suddenly progress dramatically, seemingly overnight. It isentirely possible, indeed likely, that had McCarthy not changed her son's diet, he would still have experienced the same rapid improvement at the same time. Of course, Jenny would have just found something else to credit for the change.
   There are all kinds of alternative autism therapies out there - modified diet, heavy metal chelation, what have you - that people claim are effective. Scientific investigation has, to date, shown that they are not.

   Second, by allowing McCarthy's statement to go unchallenged, Mandel undermines a fact she presented earlier in the piece - that there is no scientific support for the 'vaccine causes autism' claim. She has allowed McCarthy to throw in her contention that she has undone "the damage done by vaccines." Even if there is something to the claim that a modified diet can have an effect on autism, that in no way points to vaccines as a cause. But Mandel allows that idea to slip back into her readers' minds by not applying critical thinking to the whole story.

   The third thing that Mandel completely overlooks is that McCarthy claims to have healed her son. She conveniently leaves out the fact that Evan McCarthy still has autism. It hasn't gone away. He just showed some developmental progress. The fact is, everything McCarthy says is complete, and utter hogwash. Mandel needed to stick to her skeptical guns all the way to the end of her article. By failing to do so, she has failed her readers. She doesn't think so. She ends by saying, "at least this prescription of hers won't cause harm." Michele, I beg to differ. If just one of your readers abandons traditional treatements and therapies in favour of the woo presented by Jenny McCarthy, then there is harm. I've said this before, too.
Alternative therapies that are ineffective, are not harmless.


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   There! I feel much better having got all that off my chest. Sorry to harsh your mellow.

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

Now, I think that motorcycle rider in Toronto should be allowed to ride without a helmet so long as he waves whatever rights he has to prosecute should he suffer any sort of head trauma.  

In fact, he should pay triple the registration fee to cover the cost of man hours required to scrape his gray matter off the pavement should he have an accident.  

-Dan  
http://thewisdomofadistractedmind.blogspot.com/

Anonymous said...

==Just because two things happen at the same time (or one follows the other) does not necessarily mean they are related.==

For reference, that logical fallacy is called "post hoc, ergo propter hoc" -- basically "after this, therefore because of this".

Anonymous said...

Somewhere along the line, probably because if St. Michael's, I got on a "Christian Media" email list. Since thur missives mostly went straight into my spam folder I just deleted and forgot 'em, until I saw one promoting Expelled. That annoyed me enough to finally unsubscribe from the list. Being a Christian is one thing. Egregious lies and distortions and anti-intellectual claptrap are quite another. - Karen

Anonymous said...

I think Mr. Badesha should get a huge helmet to wear over his turban, hop on a motorcycle, start calling himself Cosmo, and refer to all inferior Earthlings as Dum-Dum.

That would be awesome.

Simon
http://simianfarmer.com

Anonymous said...

Here in the UK Sikhs ARE allowed to flaunt the helmet laws. Personally, I'm with you, if they can't, or don't want to wear the damn thing then don't buy a motorcycle.

B.

Anonymous said...

A big THANK YOU for what you wrote about the connection between autism and vaccines (or lack thereof, in my opinion). What really gets my goat about that is that people seem to be conveniently forgetting that these vaccines prevent infections that can kill. These are not just little infections that kids will fight off, these can be killers, and they can run rampant in an unvaccinated population. (One of my Dad's uncles died of diphtheria when he was in his early 20's.) We have a large Amish population (they don't vaccinate) around here, and a few years ago, there was a big outbreak of pertussis. And yeah...there were deaths.

The risk of a kid dying from one of these PREVENTABLE diseases is much higher than some tenuous, unproven connection between the vaccines and autism.

Beth

Anonymous said...

WOOT!

Skeptic-mode Paul is my favourite Paul.

-Alec

Anonymous said...

wow that Yankee construction halt beats all! whew!
hugs,nat

Anonymous said...

Dear Paul,
Did you mean some forms of autism?
DO you realize that many of our geniuses are autistic?
My daughter had a professor and her son was autistic!
Throwing a ball was something he learned to master.
He was writing entire scores for sucessful musicals and movies at the age of 15.
nat

Anonymous said...

Nat,
  That may well be true. However, it bears absolutely no relevance to the topic of my post.
-Paul

Anonymous said...

There is just so much they they do not understand about Autism, also considering that there are so many different types of it. I read recently where a group of women who used the same sperm donor all had children with Autism...that would seem to make it inherited. It is foolish for someone to claim that innoculations aren't necessary, I can personally remember my childhood filled with measles,mumps, rubella,chicken pox and the darn whooping cough...it's amazing that we all survived it. Keep on with your skeptism ...it's needed....be well, Sandi

Anonymous said...

The one that got me was the whole turban issue.
Seeing as I work with the Ministry of Transportation this caught my attention early on.

His argument was that the law that required him to wear a helmet discriminated against him and his religion.

Correct me if I'm wrong but, if we had a law that allowed him to wear a helmet due to his religion, while forcing all others to wear one, wouldn't we then be discriminating against all other drivers, based on their religion (or lack thereof)?

The fact that this even went to court shows what a farce our judicial system is at times.
If a law is to be non-discriminatory, it must apply to all drivers regardless of any personal issues, religion included.

Or put more bluntly.... DUHH!!
Brent